Ukrainian integration strategy: stages and risks

Автори: 
Доmaradska G.

The algorithm of the ground of maintenance and sequence of steps which are necessary for the effective management of procedures for Ukrainian integration into a world economy, in particular, for the entry into European Union (EU), is investigated. The  presence of corresponding factors is examined as  pre-condition of expediency of European direction of integration of Ukraine and active activity of legislative and executive bodies of  management of Ukraine in this direction  etc.. The attention is paid to not high level of fulfilling commitment, envisaged by corresponding normatively-legislative documents and concords with European institution which were accepted by Ukraine while the years of  independence, and also to the necessity of  taking into account the negative economic phenomena in EU, caused by a world financial economic crisis.  The present experience of economic collaboration of Ukraine with European organizations and establishments, in particular, with black Sea Economic Concord, group of GUAM, participating of Ukraine in Advice of Europe is analyzed.
The evaluation of effectiveness of such processes in other countries and ground of possibility of adaptation of positive socio-economic consequences in them to the terms of  Ukraine is considered the major constituent of the algorithm of optimal strategy construction, taking into account the state of  Ukrainian legal, social and economic readiness  to the integration processes.. It is suggested to conduct the comparative estimation of Ukraine with a selected country (countries) on such parameters: а) GDP, the level of revenue per person, unemployment rate, level of the tax loading on businessmen, indexes of industrial products, cost-of-living-indexes etc.; b) kinds and setting of the special establishments (organizations, committees, funds) created on macroeconomic and mezoeconomic (regional, branch) levels for realization of integration procedures and providing an adaptation of economic subjects of the country to new realities of menage; c) kinds, maintenance, cost and duration of political, legal, social, financial and other reforms that were conducted  for preparation of integration; d) positive and negative experience of menage in a selected country (countries) after the certain period  of their activity within the integration group; e) possible risks,  quantitative estimation of their influence on expediency of variant of integration, considering the system of methods and actions with the aim to avoid or reduce negative consequences of risky events.
  It is suggested to use formed in such way informative block as the basis of the construction of alternative variants (pessimistic, realistic, optimistic) of integration strategy, taking into consideration political, financial, socio-economic, ecological and other priorities of the country.