compartmental models

Modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in the limit of no acquired immunity

We propose the SEIRS compartmental epidemiology model aimed at modeling the COVID-19 pandemy dynamics.  The limit case of no acquired immunity (neither natural nor via vaccination) is considered mimicking the situation (i) when no effective vaccine being developed or available yet, and (ii) the virus strongly mutates causing massive reinfections.  Therefore, the only means of suppressing the virus spread are via quarantine measures and effective identification and isolation of infected individuals.  We found both the disease-free and the endemic fixed points and examined their stab