: pp.
Biofluids and Biosystems Modeling Lab (BBML) Faculty of Agriculture, Dalhousie University, Canada
Biofluids and Biosystems Modeling Lab (BBML) Faculty of Agriculture, Dalhousie University
Biofluids and Biosystems Modeling Lab (BBML) Department of Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Dalhousie University

This paper introduces the Threshold Index (hereafter called TRINDEX) for the Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) prediction in lake Torment (Nova Scotia province, Canada). TRINDEX was suggested via the logarithmic transformation and then the thresholds of bloom pattern were established by the discrimination test named the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC). The cohort studies will be also presented to show how accurate the bloom prediction when using TRINDEX in comparing to the real observations.

[1] Pick FR.: Canadian J. Fisheries and Aquatic Sci., 2016, 73, 1149.
[2] Ahn CY., Joung SH., Yoon SK., Oh HM.: J. Microbiology, 2007, 45(2), 98.
[3] Bartram J., Burch M., Falconer R., Jones G., Kuiper-Goodman T.: Situation assessment, planning and management [in:] Chorus I., Bartram J. (Eds), Toxic Cyanobacteria in Water: A guide to their public health consequences, monitoring and management. E & FN Spon, London, 1999, 183–210
[4] Brylinsky M.: Lake Utopia Water Quality Assessment. Final report, Dept. Environment of New Brunswick, Canada 2009.
[5] Brient L., Lengronne M., Bertrand E., Rolland D., Sipel A., Steinmann D., Baudin I., Legeas M., Le Rouzic B., Bormans M.: Journal of Environmental Monitoring, 2008, 10, 248.
[6] Chorus I.: Current approaches to cyanotoxin risk assessment, risk management and regulations in different countries, Federal Environmental Agency, Germany 2012.
[7] Novotny V., Olem H.: Water Quality: Prevention, Identification, and Management of Diffuse Pollution, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York 1994.
[8] Downing JA., Watson SB., McCauley E.: Canadian J. Fisheries and Aquatic Sci., 2001, 58 (10), 1905.
[9] Vollenweider RA., Giovanardi F., Montanari G., Rinaldi A.: Environmetrics, 1998, 9, 329.
[10] Marty J., Reardon M.: King county lake monitoring program 2015 season, Report, Municipality of the County of Kings, Canada 2016.
[11] Nguyen-Quang T., McLellan K., Hushchyna K., Murdock A. : Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) Monitoring forLake Torment and Armstrong Lake. A systematic investigation in 2016-2017 versus 2014 Kings County water quality results. Technical report, Canada 2017.
[12] YSI 9300 and 9500 direct-read photometer: User manual. YSI Incorporated, USA 2010.
[13] Hushchyna K. and Nguyen-Quang T.: Nature Environment and Pollution Technology, 2020. In press.
[14] Carter JV., Pan J., Rai SN., Galandiuk S.: Surgery, 2016, 59(6), 1638.
[15] Rajeeve K. and Abhaya I.: Indian Pediatrics, 2011, 48, 277.
[16] Youden WJ.: An index for rating diagnostic test. Cancer, 1950, 3: 32-35
[17] Schisterman EF., Perkins NJ., Liu A., Bondell H.: Epidemiology, 2005, 16 (1), 73.
[18] Grimes DA. and Schulz KF.: The Lancet 2002, 359 (9303), 341.