Foresight as a Tool of Public Administration in the Field of Science, Technology and Innovation

2021;
: сс. 90 - 97
Автори:
1
Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, Ukraine, Head of the department
2
Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, Ukraine

Given the growing role of technological foresight as a tool for reconciling visions, goals and ways of STI development in an era of rapid technological change and global challenges, the approach to foresight research to select priorities for science and innovation in Ukraine for 2022–2026 has been improved. It takes into account a wide range of national targets for achieving SDGs by 2030. The developed Methodological recommendations provided a thorough analysis of more than 3,000 potentially acceptable technological and innovative proposals. The approach to setting STI priorities is new for Ukraine and involves a consistent process of selecting the top 30 most acceptable proposals in each of the seven thematic areas through five stages of discussions and evaluations. The result was the formation of a database of technology passports and developments on the experts’ proposals, their selection by practitioners, ranking, evaluation in terms of the potential of Ukrainian science and relevance in terms of world science and new technologies using international databases. They are the basis for decisions by the Expert Councils and the High-Level Working Group on key thematic areas and the preparation of a relevant draft government decision. Despite the conditions of quarantine, for the first time more than 2,500 experts from science, business, state and public organizations took part in the discussions, which is the basis for impartial and public decision-making. To strengthen the role of foresight as a tool for public planning and management in the field of STI, it is proposed to develop a STI roadmap as part of a research and innovation strategy for smart specialization (RIS 3) at the national level.

  1. Malitskyi, B.A., Popovych, O.S. & Soloviov, V.P. (2004). Methodical recommendations for conducting forecasting and analytical research within the framework of the State Program for Forecasting Scientific, Technological and Innovative Development of Ukraine. K.: Feniks, 52 p. [in Ukrainian]
  2. Popovych, O.S. (2019). Science, technology and innovation policy: the main mechanisms of formation and implementation (the second edition is corrected and supplemented). K.:Institute for Research of Scientific and Technical Potential and History of Science. R.:Dobrova NAS of Ukraine, 342. [in Ukrainian]
  3. Egorov, I., Popovich, O., Solovyov, V. (2003). «Borrowing strategy» and the development of science. Bulletin of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. № 5. pp. 3–14. [in Ukrainian]
  4. Zgurovsky, M.Z, (2016). Foresight and construction of the strategy of socio-economic development of Ukraine on the medium-term (until 2020) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons until 2020) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons. Kyiv: NTUU «KPI named after Igor Sikorsky», Publishing House «Polytechnic». 184 p. [in Ukrainian]. https://doi.org/10.15407/visn2016.01.057
  5. Haustov, V.K. (2014). Innovative potential of structural changes in Ukraine. Economics and forecasting. № 2. Pp. 85–93. [in Ukrainian]
  6. Pysarenko, T. V., Kvasha, T. K., Paladchenko, O. F. et al. Foresight in Ukraine in 2019–2020: the vision of experts in priority areas of science and technology in Ukraine for the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals: a monograph. [in Ukrainian]. https://doi.org/10.35668/978-966-479-116-5
  7. Popper, R., Keenan, M., Miles, I., Butter, M., Saintz de la Fuenta, S. (2007). Global foresight outlook 2007. EFMN. 66 c. http://www.inovasyon.org/pdf/efmn.global.foresight.outlook_Popper.et.al.2007.pdf
  8. Ben R., Martin. (2002). Technology foresight in a rapidly globalizing. International Practice in Technology Foresight. Vienna : UNID. P. 14.
  9. Denisov, V.T., Avdeeva, E.S. (2014). Foresight as forming of national environment of innovative strategic development. Bulletin of Economic Science of Ukraine. № 3. Pp. 20–23. [in Ukrainian]
  10. Denezhnikov, S.S. (2015). Foresight methodology in scientific forecasting of the future. Philosophy of science: traditions and innovations. [in Ukrainian]
  11. Kvasha, T.K. (2010). Foresight research in Ukraine. Actual problems of science and technology and innovation policy in the context of the formation of the European scientific space: experience and prospects: Proceedings of the international symposium. Phenix. P 353–357. [in Ukrainian]
  12. Panchenko, I. A. (2011). Foresight: methodology of technological forecasting. State and regions. Series: Economics and Business. № 3. Pp. 30–35. [in Ukrainian]
  13. Hafezi, R, Malekifar, S, Akhavan, A. (2018). Analyzing Iran’s science and technology foresight programs: recommendations for further practices. FORESIGHT, Value 20. Issue 3. P. 312–331. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-10-2017-0064
  14. Strategic foresight for the post-2015 development agenda. Report of the Secretary-General. Commission on Science and Technology for Development Eighteenth Session. Geneva. ( 2015). E/CN.16/2015/3.
  15. Foresight Manual. Empowered Futures for the 2030 Agenda. UNDP Global Centre for Public Service Excellence Singapore, January 2018. – P. 5.
  16. A Guidebook for the Preparation of STI for SDGs Roadmaps. Draft for Consultation (2019). https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/tfm.
  17. Sustainable Development Goals: Ukraine. (2017). http://www.ua.undp.org/content/ukraine/uk/home/library/sustainable-development-report/sustainable-development-goals-2017-basseline-national-report.html
  18. Musina, L.A., Kvasha, T.K. (2020). Research topics assessment in Ukraine in the context of compliance with global technological trends and achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. Sustainable development – the XXI century. Discussions 2020: a collective monograph under ed. prof. Khlobystova, E.V. Kyiv, National University «Kyiv-Mohyla Academy». 469 pp.17–27. [in Ukrainian]
  19. Androshchuk, H. O., Kvasha, T. K. (2019). Patent landscape as a tool for forecasting world technological trends: arms and military equipment. Science, Technologies, Innovations. №4(12). P. 28–40. [in Ukrainian]. https://doi.org/10.35668/2520-6524-2019-4-04
  20. Guide to Research and Innovation Strategies for Smart Specialisation (RIS 3). (2012). https://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/presenta/smart_specialisation/smart_ris3_2012.pdf